Here's the webcam LINK, which also has time lapse of the past 24 hours. |
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August 1--
Today's report for Isla Mujeres has 3 new cases for a total of 83, with 5 deaths & 43 recovered.
The national map for July 31 reports 5 suspicious and 45 negatives (with 80 confirmed & 5 deaths)
The Geoportal hasn't been updated yet today.
July 31--The good news is there are no new cases reported in the municipality of Isla Mujeres today. The bad news is that 50 of our 80 cases occurred this month, as did 3 of the 5 deaths. 42 people have recovered.
The state geoportal reports today's active cases by colonia as: La Gloria-7, Canotal-2, Salina Chica-2,Guadalupana-1, Col#5(Sac Bajo)-1,Col#6-1, Miraflores-1, Lol-Beh-1, Amp.la Gloria-1, Salina Grande-1, 23 de Noviembre-1,Meteorologico-1, Downtown-1, and zero on the mainland for a total of 21.
Our Incidence rate (7/30) is unchanged at 8.21 per 10,000 inhabitants, and the 5th worst in the state, behind Tulum at 8.56. Cancun (Benito Juarez) & Puerto Morelos are at 4.78, Cozumel is 4.86, Solidaridad (PDC) is 6.2. The worst is Chetumal (OTB) at 21.64, then Holbox (LC) at 11.74.
The weekly ranking by colonia for areas by contagion risk hasn't been updated & continues to show La Gloria in Red, and 5 colonias in yellow, while the rest of the island, and the mainland part of the municipality, are green.
On the national map for 7/30, the municipality of Isla Mujeres reported 5 suspected cases and a total of 45 negatives (with 80 confirmed positives & 5 deaths).
Our northern zone of the state will remain in the Orange status of the state epidemiological traffic light for August 3-9 & the next update will be Thursday night around 9p.
Our Northern Region of the state will continue in Orange August 3-9 on the state epidemiological traffic light. The southern region continues in Red.
How the three (yes, 3!) epidemiological "Semáforos" work....
TWO ZONES
The weekly color status on the state epidemiological light is determined separately for the two regions of the state. Our Northern Zone includes seven of the 11 municipalities: Cancun (Benito Juarez), Playa del Carmen (Solidaridad), Cozumel, Tulum, Holbox (Lazaro Cardenas) & Puerto Morelos. Each Zone's color is determined by the worst of two factors: 1) Hospital Occupancy & 2) Growth of New Cases. These are indicated by the little colored circles in the top section of the weekly Semáforo graphics labeled "Hospital Availability"="Disponibilidad Hospitalaria" & "New Cases"="Nuevos Casos". (Graphics #2 & #3)
HOSPITAL AVAILABILITY
The Southern Zone's "Red" status is (and has been) because of their problems with Hospital Availability. The DAILY state reports (#4) show the actual numbers, with one of their four municipalities at 100% occupancy & two at or over 50%. (A 70-bed facility is under construction.) Our Zone's hospital occupancy (Orange) is above 50% in two of our seven municipalities (Cozumel-60% & PDC-54%), and at 48% in Cancun (where islanders are treated). The southern region gives an idea of what puts "Hospital Availability" into the Red category & our northern region indicates what isn't good enough for the Yellow category.
NEW CASES
It gets more confusing for the "New Cases" indicator. On the updated Semáforo graphics and the previous week's, both the northern & southern Zones met the "New Cases" criteria for "Orange" status (#2 & #3-little colored circles). Again, we look to the DAILY reports for numbers (#4). The "Growth Rates of Cases"="Velocidad de Crecimiento de Casos" are shown underneath the map & don't change throughout the week, (so we won't see the updated rates until Monday). The current "Growth Rate" for our Northern Zone is 1.4 and the Southern Zone is 3.0. The confusing part is theirs is highlighted in Red on the Daily Reports (#4), although they qualified as Orange status for New Cases on the Weekly Semáforo update (#3). So it's hard to draw a conclusion from that, but our Zone's Growth Rate of 1.4 apparently isn't low enough for Yellow status in the "New Cases" category.
RED DOESN'T MEAN CLOSURE
Being downgraded to the "Red" status doesn't mean shutdowns, it means reductions to 15% (in most cases) from the current 30%. (Malls & theaters close, but we don't have any.) Being upgraded to "Yellow" allows the beaches to open (at 60%) and capacities to increase to that level, but bars don't open until "Green".
NATIONAL & MUNICIPAL TRAFFIC LIGHTS
Our state is Red on the weekly National Semáforo, which is just a guideline since Mexico moved into the "New Normality" two months ago when the federal government handed over responsibility about reopening to the states & municipalities. At that time, our Governor declared the Tourism industry as essential to our economy & laid out a plan for gradual, careful reopening. He imposed restrictions on businesses that include capacity limitations, mandatory training and sanitary measures like checking temperatures, masks/shields/glasses, having sani-mats, posting signs, constructing barriers where necessary, providing gel, and others. Masks became mandatory in public areas, with distancing & frequent hand washing or using gel, and residents continue to be advised to stay home except for essential outings & for all residents with risk factors to remain at home. Some decisions, such as those governing ports and borders, remain federal.
The Municipal Traffic light is a three-color system assigning risk levels by colonia that is updated weekly by the state on its Geoportal. (#5) It doesn't impose any restrictions, it just lets you know where there is a higher risk of contagion, based on active cases. Currently, only La Gloria is red, last week it also included downtown.
CONCLUSION
I hope that helps. I don't have an answer to the second question (sent in DM's daily) since it is unknown if cases will increase or decrease next week, next month or next year. My best advice is to watch for the Thursday night color updates for the following Monday thru Sunday. Beyond that... ¿Quién sabe? Not me! 🙂 😎
Here's the state list about what's allowed in each of the four color phases--https://reactivemosq.roo.gob.mx/actividades-economicas/ You'll also find the Geoportal & other Covid-related info there.This is a graphic reminding everyone to wear face masks in public to reduce the contagion of Covid-19
There's another article about the "Yellow Caps" brigade who consist of 62 volunteers, stationed in locations of high risk of contagion of Covid-19 to encourage everyone to use face masks correctly and consistently, to wash their hands frequently & maintain social distance.
VIDEO from the municipal Department of Sports & Physical Culture who are responsible for maintaining the sports areas on the island.
VIDEO From the municipal Department of Public Lighting whose caption says 108 street lights have been repaired and 25 new ones were installed at various points around the island, and they will continue working to preserve the good image of our municipality.
The well-known athlete Shaila Pérez of "Exatlón Unitied States" is promoting the municipality of Isla Mujeres as a destination for sports & gastronomy. She is here on the island and will be making recordings for promotions aboad, as well as live links for various US TV channels, and for Exation Facebook groups. The next personalities who will visit Isla Mujeres to promote this Pueblo Magico are Dani Orce and Fabi Martinez.
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MaraVilla Caribe Bed & Beach
Four rentals with large glass doors overlooking our white
sand beach and
the beautiful Caribbean sea, with
kitchenettes & fast WIFI. In the upscale
neighborhood of Bachilleres,
convenient to downtown
or
the colonias, yet
separate. Quiet & Private.
A large slider
opens from each of the 3 rooms onto the patio where each has a table
& chairs, hammock & clotheslines. The BBQ is behind the pole,
and the outdoor shower is out of the pic at left. "Reverse Sunset" (looking east from MVC) |
Fine dining a few steps away at Da Luisa or try the neighborhood eateries a couple blocks farther. We provide a list of links & direction to over 20 eateries within ten minutes walk, including Mango Cafe, Mike's Pizza, Brisas, Rosa Sirena, Coco Jaguar, Manolitos, La Chatita, Green Verde, Kash Kechen Chuc, and the large department store-grocery Chedraui & the local craft brewery. Visit marinas, bars, & beach clubs that are minutes away by bike or on foot. Attend Yoga classes a couple villas away at Casa Ixchel. Fresh juice, produce & tortillas a few blocks away in the village, as well as a variety of other stores.
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Full moon rising over the Caribbean
Just after Sunset--August 3 at 7:47
August 4 8:29
August 5 9:07
August 6 9:42
August 7 10:16
August 8 11:22 Sunset 7:25-7:03pm (beginning vs end of month) Sunrise 6:21-6:30am Painting by Pamela Haase at MVC |
Swimming with the whale sharks takes place in August, which ends annually in mid-September. They congregate and feed on a 'buffet' of plankton and fish eggs from a type of tuna. Rays are also attracted to the feeding areas. Photo by Tony Garcia
>>Meteors!! The Perseids are currently active & one of the most popular showers. They will peak in the early mornings of the weekend of August 11,12 & 13, but the moon will be at or slightly past its last quarter phase and interfering. However, the Perseids are bright & you may see 3 or 4 dozen when they are peaking, if you're patient. They continue thru the 24th. The Alpha Capricornids are going on now (thru Aug. 15) with only a few meteors per hour, but they are known for producing bright fireballs when active. (They peaked Tuesday & moonlight will interfere with visibility.)
Sources for Weather Information:
LINK to Civil Protection Q Roo weather bulletin (Spanish)
LINK to Mexico National Weather Service (Spanish)
LINK to satellite images for the Mexico National Weather Service
LINK to GOES East Band 16 GIF (animation)
LINK to a private weather station on Isla Mujeres
LINK to NHC
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