Friday, April 10, 2020

Isla Mujeres Daily News & Events Friday, April 10

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   As April 9 at 6p, the state of Quintana Roo reported 159 positive cases with 12 deaths, 225 cases under study and 344 negatives. There were 30 hospitalized, 80 in social isolation and 37 recuperated. Their locations were: Benito Juarez (Cancun) with 111 positives and 6 deaths, Solidaridad (PDC) with 32 positives and 4 deaths, OTB (Chetumal) 4 positives and 1 death, Tulum with 3 positives and 1 death, Cozumel with 5 positives, and 1 each in Isla Mujeres, Puerto Morelos, Felipe C Puerto, and Bacalar. You are reminded to Stay At Home.

Week 1 Q Roo from 1 to 4
Week 2 Q Roo From 11 to 28

Week 3
QRoo 32 to 55  (+70%)
Cancun 24 to 38 (+60%)

Week 4
Q Roo 68 to 159  (+135%)
Cancun 45 to 111  (+145%)
Deaths from 1 to 12  (+1100%)
Date        QRoo  Can  PDC  IM  Dead Hosp Rec
WEEK 1                                                             
3/13            1        1       0      0       0                  
3/18            4                         0       0       1         
WEEK 2   --------------------------------------------
3/20            11                        0      0       0         
3/21            12      10      2      0      0       0         
3/22            12      10      2      0      0       0         
3/23            22      19      3      0      0       1         
3/24            22      19      3      0      0       1         
3/25            27      22      4      0      0       2         
3/26            28      23      4      0      1       3         
WEEK 3----------------------------------------------
3/27            32      24      7      0      1       1         
3/28            37      27      8      0      1       3         
3/29            42      29      8      0      1       4         
3/30            44      30      9      0      1       4         
3/31            46      32      9      0      1       5         
4/1              50      35     10     0      1       7         
4/2              55      38     11     0      1       7         
WEEK 4---------------------------------------------
4/3              68      45     13     0      1      10     3 
4/4              75      49     14     1      2      11    11
4/5              86      58     15     1      4      12    12
4/6             118     75     28     1      8      21    12
4/7             138     92     31     1      9      25    25
4/8             146    100    31     1    10      25    34
4/9             159    111    32     1     12     30    37
Sponsored by MaraVilla Caribe Bed & Beach  
This is a STATE notice limiting the hours of alcohol sales in Quintana Roo to 10a-5p until the end of the month, beginning on Sunday. You may recall that in Isla Mujeres, the Mayor announced closure of the bars on March 18, and prohibited alcohol sales at stores beginning March 21, until further notice.
Isla restaurants continued selling alcoholic beverages, but they have been closed for dining in since last weekend, with some still offering takeaway & delivery.


At Wednesday's press conference, Mexico's coronavirus czar, Dr. Gatell estimated that there are eight times as many cases as the number of reported positive cases. He said the "Sentinel Surveillance Method" estimates there were 26,529 cases, compared to the 3181 reported positives.
(NOTE: Yesterday Cancun (Benito Juarez) had 111 reported positives. An estimate of eight times that many would be 888. The Port Authority (APIQROO) reported there are ~1500 people riding the passenger ferries between the island & Puerto Juarez daily.)
He explained that the Sentinel method takes factors into consideration such as reports of hospital admissions for ARI (Acute Respiratory Infection) and other respiratory diseases that could be related to the pathogen. He said the model allows a multiplication of each case of Covid-19 that is confirmed and observed, in order to account for the others who failed to take the test, for whatever reason. He emphasized, "It allows us to assume reality as it is, instead of assuming that what is not seen does not exist".
He tweeted: "Of every 10 people who do not belong to risk groups, 8 will recover from # COVID19 without sequelae in 14 days at home. By avoiding going to hospitals and where there is transmission, they will not be registered but we will know that they exist by the scientific method of epidemiological surveillance."
Yesterday's national graphic shows 3441 confirmed cases with 194 deaths. Of the confirmed cases, 30% required hospitalization (1040).
You're reminded to Stay At Home, unless leaving for an
essential purpose, when you should employ social distancing, frequent hand washing/disinfecting & other recommendations.

A Reminder to be respectful to the personnel with Civil Protection who are doing their jobs, advising people in public places that we are in a declared state of Health Emergency when everyone should follow the Ministry of Health's recommendation to stay at home unless you're an essential worker or on an essential outing. They're trying to save our lives, like they do in 'normal times', when they fight fires, rescue people who fall off cliffs, save drowning swimmers, capture swarms of aggressive bees, etc. Please don't be rude to them!! If you're a non-compliant foreigner, you're making the rest of us look bad.

This morning's sunrise from MaraVilla Caribe Bed & Beach:


Yesterday, CFE ran the generator at the airfield, and the island had electricity all day, except for about a minute in the late afternoon.

From the City....

Dr. Xhanat Tze Gonz├ílez Mora conducted educational sessions with 70 municipal Public Service workers who collect trash and sweep streets, teaching them about the correct use of gloves and masks while working. She also wants the general public to protect the workers by the following these steps: Separate and place hazardous waste in plastic bag, spray the bag inside and out with a chlorinated water solution of 10 ml of chlorine per liter of water, and write "Residuos Peligrosos" on it with a permanent marker.  (This includes your masks, gloves, tissues, and other health-related products.)

There is a notice that the gas coupons distributed by the state are valid at the Z-Gas propane service station. The info graphic about the city fee discounts and extensions is posted again and one about staying inside.

TVisla Mujeres    

Dr Gatell estimated that Mexico will enter Phase 3 in about two weeks, when there will be adjustments in the various epidemiological control measures.  LINK 

The Governor made another appeal for residents to stay at home and save lives, saying those who leave and don't respect the recommendations are putting the lives of others at risk. LINK  


  This blog is brought to you by....

MaraVilla Caribe   Bed & Beach    Four rentals with large glass doors overlooking our white sand beach and the beautiful Caribbean sea, with  kitchenettes & fast WIFI. In the upscale neighborhood of  Bachilleres, convenient to downtown or the colonias, yet separate.  Quiet & Private.   
A large slider opens from each of the 3 rooms onto the patio where each has a table & chairs, hammock & clotheslines. The BBQ is behind the pole, and the outdoor shower is out of the pic at left.

"Reverse Sunset" (looking east from MVC)
Free amenities include hammocks, portable beach chairs, beach towels, washer & dryer, loungers, shared bikes, BBQ grill, and safes.  Panoramic views from the rooftop terrace. Large sliding doors open to a patio & the white sand backyard-beach, overlooking the Caribbean sea.  Downtown is  ~ a mile away; we're on all four bus routes or  flag a $3 taxi. Off street parking. You can enjoy the music & crowds downtown, then return to the quiet neighborhood of Bachilleres and  sleep to the sounds of the sea.$275/$325/$425 wk   $40/50/$65nt  Monthly Discounts
Fine dining a few steps away at Da Luisa or try the neighborhood eateries a couple blocks farther. We provide a list of links & direction to over 20 eateries within ten minutes walk, including Mango Cafe,  Mike's Pizza, Brisas, Rosa Sirena, Coco Jaguar, Manolitos, La Chatita, Green Verde, Kash Kechen Chuc, and the large department store-grocery Chedraui & the local craft brewery.  Visit marinas, bars, & beach clubs that are minutes away by bike or on foot. Attend Yoga classes a couple villas away at Casa Ixchel. Fresh juice, produce & tortillas a few blocks away in the village, as well as a variety of other stores.
Full moon rising over the Caribbean 
 At Sunset--April 7  6:54p (sets 7:04p)
April 8     7:59  
April 9     9:04
 April 10   10:08
April 11    11:11

 Sunset  7:02-7:12pm (beginning vs end of month)
Sunrise  6:40--6:17am
Painting by Pamela Haase at MVC

     This year, the nearly new crescent moon won't interfere, and you may see as many as 18 meteors per hour, at the peak. Occasionally, this shower produces 'fireballs' (exceptionally bright meteors) and about a quarter of Lyrid meteors leave persistent trails of ionized gas that glow for a few seconds. 
       The "shooting stars" will be more frequent in the pre-dawn hours, when the radiant point is highest in the sky. Look over the Caribbean, toward the northeastern horizon, but don't worry if you don't identify the radiant point (near the star Vega)--they can be seen in all parts of the night sky. (The radiant point is where they appear to originate.)

    Watch in the pre-dawn hours of April 20, 21 & 22 (Mon-Wed).  They'll peak in the pre-dawn hours of Wednesday, April 22. There may be some early on Thursday. You can also see three planets in the pre-dawn sky--Jupiter, Saturn & Mars, in the southeast. 
    There are records of this shower that go back some 2700 years, when the Chinese are said to have observed the Lyrid meteors "falling like rain" in 687 BC. The Lyrids are known for their occasional "outbursts", and observers have seen around 100 per hour in the US (1982), Japan (1945), and Greece (1922), with no predictions for this occurring this year.  
   The meteors are the debris of a comet (Thatcher) that takes 415 years to orbit the sun. They burn up in our atmosphere, about 60 miles up, while the star Vega is just a reference point and unconnected--it's trillions of times farther away. 

 HERE is an interactive sky map showing the position of the radiant (where the meteors appear to originate) in the sky above Isla Mujeres throughout the night & predawn. (Scroll forward to 10p+ when the radiant & Vega begin rising here.) You can change the date & location.

The Events section will resume when there are public events scheduled.

Sources for Weather Information:
LINK to Civil Protection Q Roo weather bulletin  (Spanish)
LINK to Mexico National Weather Service (Spanish)
 LINK to satellite images for the Mexico National Weather Service
 LINK to GOES East Band 16 GIF (animation)
LINK to a private weather station on Isla Mujeres

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